Tuesday, February 14, 2017

NFHPC Announces 192 H7N9 Cases (79 Deaths) In January




















#12,225


Around the middle of each month China's NFHPC (National Family Health & Planning Commission) releases a bare bones accounting of infectious diseases reported across Mainland China during the previous month.   
These summaries are very short - with an attached list of over 3 dozen infectious diseases - providing only country totals, and number of deaths recorded.
With their 5th H7N9  flu season beginning in October, today's is the 4rd report of this winter season, which are summarized below.
For October           2 H7N9 cases,  1 death          0  H5 Cases

For November       6 H7N9 cases,   0 deaths        0  H5 Cases
For December:     106 H7N9 cases,  20  deaths     0 H5 Cases
         For January:         192 H7N9 cases,  79 deaths      0 H5 Cases

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        5th Epidemic Wave  306  H7N9 cases, 100 deaths      0 H5 Cases


When add in the cases already reported in February we are somewhere in the vicinity of 360 cases (including Hong Kong (4), Macao (2), and Taiwan (1)).  These numbers are obviously subject to change as more data trickles in from last month, and only include those cases sick enough to be hospitalized and tested.
Deaths are often a trailing indicator, as they can occur even after weeks of treatment, and so the 33% mortality reported here may rise over time.
Although a record number of H7N9 cases, there is nothing in these numbers to suggest sustained or efficient transmission of the virus.  That said, the virus continues to evolve and there may be several more months to this year's epidemic, so we continue to watch the situation closely.

January 2017 National Notifiable Infectious Diseases Overview
 

Published: 2017-02-14

  January 2017 (at 0:00 on January 1st, 2017 to January 31 24), the country (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, the same below) reported a total of 482,019 cases of legal infectious diseases, died 1121 people. Among them, the Group of infectious diseases as plague, cholera incidence and deaths have been reported. B infectious diseases infectious atypical pneumonia, diphtheria, polio and no human infection with highly pathogenic avian influenza morbidity, mortality reports, the remaining 22 infectious diseases were reported incidence of 246,739 cases, 1108 people died. Before the reported incidence of the top five diseases were viral hepatitis, tuberculosis, syphilis, gonorrhea, and bacillary and amoebic dysentery, accounting for 95% of the total reported cases of class B infectious diseases.


  Over the same period, Class C infectious diseases filariasis morbidity, mortality reports, the remaining 10 infectious diseases were reported incidence of 235,280 cases, with 13 deaths. Before the reported incidence of the three diseases were other infectious diarrhea, hand-foot-mouth disease and influenza, 92% of the total number of reported cases of class C infectious diseases.



A close up of the H7N9 line item reads:



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